Florida +16 2.2% play
I think Florida can stay within this number as we are getting a few extra points after Florida’s loss last week. Alabama’s uptick defense in my opinion is a bit overrated when you look at their schedule since the Georgia game, which was the last time this defense faced a top 60 unit. They gave up 24 points to Georgia in the first half who moved the ball extremely well on them. Since that game they have faced an average YPP offense ranking 92.75. The only time they faced an offense close to Florida’s capabilities in the passing game was Ole Miss who put 48 points on them. Florida gets their star TE back in Pitts here, which should be a huge deal to go along with Toney. I think the offense finds a way to stay within this number, and the back door if necessary, could be left wide open.
The last 8 times Alabama has faced a top 35 yards per play offense they have given up 34.8ppg, and the last 5 times they have faced a Top 11 YPP offense they have given up 39.6 points per game, and have lost
